Questions raised on the future cost of care of the elderly in Dundee

2 July 2010

 

Marlyn Glen has been informed by Dundee City Council that they have not as yet made any estimates of the cost of maintaining the present level of provision of Free Personal Care as it is now in future years based of population projections.

In reply, the council said, that these estimates "are currently being developed as part of an estimate of demographic pressures"

Ms. Glen said,

" Free personal care in the city faces major demographic pressures.

"Firstly, we see the onset of the retirement of the 1960s "baby boomers" in large numbers.

"Population-wise, Dundee’s population is projected to be 142,000 in 2013 with almost 27,000 being aged 65 or over.

"By 2028, the population is forecast to decrease to 137,000 but the numbers aged over 65 are predicted to rise to almost 32,000.

"Secondly, increasing life expectancy has not been accompanied by a corresponding increase in healthy life expectancy.

Ms. Glen said that figures from 1999-2003 indicated that both men and women in Dundee spend more years not in good health compared with Scotland overall.

She said,

"’Healthy Life Expectancy’ is the number of years that people may expect to enjoy ‘good health’"

For Dundee males, life expectancy was estimated at 71.8 years, and healthy life expectancy at 64.6 years.

This means that the number of years "not spent in good health was 7.2 years"

The comparable Scottish figure for males is less, and estimated to be 7.0 years.

For Dundee females, life expectancy was estimated at 78.0 , and healthy life expectancy at 68.8 years.

This means that the number of years " not spent in good health" was 9.2 years.

The comparable Scottish figures for females is less, and estimated at 8.5 years.

She said,

"As council budgets are set to shrink still further, the financial pressures on the provision of the service will increase."

Ms. Glen has tabled the following questions in the Scottish Parliament to reveal more information on the future cost of care of the elderly in the city.

These are :

To ask the Scottish Executive what information it has on the projected number of staff who will be required to provide care in (a) care homes, (b) home care and (c) day care in Dundee in the period up to 2033, based on 2007-08 figures.

To ask the Scottish Executive what information it has on the projected number of people who will receive care in (a) care homes, (b) home care and (c) day care in Dundee in the period up to 2033, based on 2007-08 figures.

To ask the Scottish Executive what information it has on the projected number of people who will receive care in NHS long-stay beds in the NHS Tayside area in the period up to 2033, based on 2007-08 figures.

To ask the Scottish Executive what the estimated expenditure by Dundee City Council was on (a) care at home, (b) care homes and (c) day care for people aged 65 or over in the last year for which information is available.

To ask the Scottish Executive what the estimated expenditure was on (a) hospital, (b) community and (c) family services for people aged 65 or over in NHS Tayside in the last year for which information is available.

To ask the Scottish Executive what percentage of the population was of working age in Dundee in the last year for which information is available and what that percentage will be in 2033 if current proposals to increase the pensionable age are implemented.

 

The council provided Ms. Glen with answers to her questions on the cost of current provision.

These were :

"The Scottish Government statistical publication "Free Personal And Nursing Care,Scotland, 2007-08" was published in November 2009, and this appears to be the latest available year for such statistics from the Scottish Government.

"I write therefore to ask if you can provide me with the following information for financial year 2008-09 for the council.

*The number of self-funders receiving Free Personal Personal Care (FPC) and/or Free Nursing Care (FNC) in a Care Home

152 people aged 65+ received both Free Personal and Nursing Care

129 people aged 65+ received Free Personal Care only

0   people under 65 received Free Nursing Care only



*The number of home care clients aged 65+ receiving FPC at home

921 people aged 65+ received Free Personal Care at home



*The expenditure on FPNC in care homes

£2,748,000 

*The expenditure on FPC at home

£6,828,000



*The net expenditure on home care services for older people

£12,323,000



*The expenditure on personal care services provided to people in their own home.


£11,126,000 (gross expenditure)

 

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